Корреспондент

Abstract The 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia provides a rare empirical benchmark for evaluating forecasting methodologies in international relations. This article demonstrates that dominant academic approaches—rational choice theory, deterrence theory, and structural realism—systematically failed to predict the invasion despite the availability of relevant pre-war data. By

Вашему вниманию представлено первое открытое исследование проведенное с помощью искусственного интеллекта по проверке прогнозов таких видных экспертов как Андрей Пионтковский, Андрей Илларионов, Георгий Сатаров, Андрей Девятов, Алексей Подберезкин, Валерий Соловей, Сергей Белановский, Игорь Липсиц, Михаил Кофман, Филипп Карбер, Юрий Шулипа и пр. IA – в настоящее время, самый объективный оценщик подтверждения,

STRASBOURG, Jan 26, 2026 — In an unprecedented move for a human rights organization, the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) has effectively banned media coverage of the inaugural session of the "Platform for Dialogue with Russian Democratic Forces." Journalists were allowed only "a few minutes" at the opening,

Dear colleagues! The International Interactive Academy of Geoinformation Science together with SIDCON and partners invite you to take part in the roundtable for representatives of foreign diplomatic missions, Kyiv Association of Military Attachés, leading Ukrainian media and experts entitled Disasters in Hybrid Warfare: Knowledge as Salvation, which will take place